Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.
