Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
