Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
