Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
