Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.