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National League North | Gameweek 19
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
3 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Ramshaw (18', 60'), McKenna (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Flowers (53')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Curzon Ashton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawCurzon Ashton
54.71%23.82%21.47%
Both teams to score 51.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69%49.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63%71.36%
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09%17.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.29%48.7%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54%37.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76%74.23%
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 54.71%
    Curzon Ashton 21.47%
    Draw 23.81%
Spennymoor TownDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.71%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 5.56%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.47%

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