Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.