SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 57.55% | 21.8% | 20.66% |
| Both teams to score 56.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% | 41.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% | 63.98% |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% | 14.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.04% | 41.96% |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% | 33.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.47% | 70.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 6.45% 3-0 @ 5.96% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.06% Total : 57.55% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.66% |
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