Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.