Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.