Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.