SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Brackley Town |
34.82% ( -0.03) | 26.56% ( -0.01) | 38.62% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.33% ( 0.05) | 52.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( 0.04) | 74.31% ( -0.03) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 0.01) | 28.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( 0) | 64.71% ( 0) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% ( 0.05) | 26.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( 0.07) | 61.83% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.62% |
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