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National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
3 - 1
Brackley Town

Ackroyd (5'), De Girolamo (31'), Kirby (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Walker (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-1 Buxton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-0 Darlington
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brackley Town had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Brackley Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawBrackley Town
50.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.36%24.25% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 49.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)74.39% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05%20.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.7% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.55%
Score Analysis
    Buxton 50.38%
    Brackley Town 24.25%
    Draw 25.36%
BuxtonDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 9.41%
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 24.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-1 Buxton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-0 Boston
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Buxton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-4 Buxton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-0 Darlington
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Brackley Town
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Telford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North


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