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National League North | Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
2 - 1
Darlington

Newton (27'), Lilley (87')
Hall (50'), Newton (52'), Lyttle (83'), Roberts (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Main (63' pen.)
Leesley (58'), Barrow (83'), Maskell (90+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Warrington Town
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-0 Chester
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawDarlington
52.57% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 25.55% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 21.88% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42% (0.089999999999996 0.09)55.58% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25% (0.074000000000002 0.07)76.74% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (0.025999999999996 0.03)21.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (0.042999999999999 0.04)54.05% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4% (0.088000000000001 0.09)40.6% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8% (0.077999999999999 0.08)77.2% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 52.56%
    Darlington 21.88%
    Draw 25.55%
Brackley TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 13.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 21.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Warrington Town
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Braintree (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 South Shields
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Needham Market 1-3 Brackley Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-1 Radcliffe
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Darlington 1-0 Chester
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Darlington
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-2 Warrington Town
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Darlington
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-1 Darlington
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Darlington
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North


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