Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.13%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
Result | ||
Radcliffe | Draw | Buxton |
37.93% ( -2.88) | 23.09% ( -0.32) | 38.98% ( 3.2) |
Both teams to score 65% ( 1.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.7% ( 1.82) | 36.29% ( -1.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.58% ( 1.96) | 58.42% ( -1.97) |
Radcliffe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.38% ( -0.52) | 19.62% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.43% ( -0.86) | 51.56% ( 0.86) |
Buxton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.86% ( 2.34) | 19.13% ( -2.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.22% ( 3.73) | 50.78% ( -3.73) |
Score Analysis |
Radcliffe | Draw | Buxton |
2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.68) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.64) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.4) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.3% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.49) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.32) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.46% Total : 38.98% |
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