SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Buxton |
40.57% ( -0.01) | 28.74% | 30.68% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.75% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.41% ( 0) | 61.58% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.57% | 81.42% ( -0) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0) | 29.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( -0) | 65.83% ( 0) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( 0) | 36.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( 0.01) | 73.06% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.47% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 30.67% |
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