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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Buxton |
52.2% ( 2.38) | 25.32% ( -0.64) | 22.48% ( -1.74) |
| Both teams to score 48.2% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.86% ( 0.89) | 54.13% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.45% ( 0.74) | 75.55% ( -0.74) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( 1.38) | 20.75% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% ( 2.13) | 53.38% ( -2.13) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.82% ( -1.15) | 39.18% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.11% ( -1.09) | 75.89% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.48)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.5% Total : 52.19% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.44% Total : 22.48% |
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