SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Banbury United |
49.22% ( -0.61) | 24.79% ( -0) | 25.98% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% ( 0.51) | 49.07% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( 0.46) | 71.15% ( -0.46) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.05) | 19.96% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.87% ( -0.08) | 52.13% ( 0.09) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( 0.79) | 33.27% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.11% ( 0.86) | 69.88% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.98% |
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