SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
45.46% ( -1.08) | 24.73% ( -0.19) | 29.81% ( 1.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( 1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( 1.54) | 46.36% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% ( 1.44) | 68.64% ( -1.44) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( 0.16) | 20.47% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( 0.26) | 52.93% ( -0.26) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( 1.69) | 28.98% ( -1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( 2.05) | 64.88% ( -2.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.81% |
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