SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Chester FC |
39.37% ( 0.03) | 27.19% ( 0.01) | 33.44% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( -0.03) | 55.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% ( -0.02) | 76.59% ( 0.02) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 0) | 27.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( 0.01) | 62.96% ( -0) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( -0.04) | 31.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( -0.05) | 67.4% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.37% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 33.44% |
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