SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Chester FC |
34.83% ( -0.08) | 25.01% ( -0.05) | 40.17% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% ( 0.2) | 45.9% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( 0.19) | 68.21% ( -0.2) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.05) | 25.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.07) | 60.48% ( -0.07) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.15) | 22.73% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( 0.23) | 56.41% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Chester FC |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.83% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.17% |
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