SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Gloucester City |
64.52% ( 0.07) | 21.15% ( -0.02) | 14.33% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( 0) | 49.29% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% | 71.34% ( 0) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( 0.02) | 14.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.38% ( 0.05) | 42.62% ( -0.04) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0.07) | 46.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.26% ( -0.06) | 81.73% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.15% | 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.33% |
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