SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Buxton |
38.97% ( -0.17) | 26.02% ( 0.01) | 35.01% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% ( -0.04) | 50.36% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( -0.04) | 72.3% ( 0.04) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( -0.11) | 25.35% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% ( -0.15) | 60.14% ( 0.16) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( 0.07) | 27.61% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( 0.09) | 63.14% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.01% |
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