Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Chester FC
34.05% ( 0.05)	28.15%	37.8% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.23% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.11% (

0.01)

58.89% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61% (

0.01)

79.39% (

-0)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

0.04)

32.46% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02% (

0.04)

68.98% (

-0.04)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

-0.02)

30.07% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

-0.03)

66.21% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 34.05%

Chester FC 37.8%

Draw 28.14%

Brackley Town	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.05%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.8%