SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Chester FC |
15.32% ( 0.02) | 19.92% ( 0) | 64.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( 0.01) | 42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.59% ( 0.02) | 64.4% ( -0.02) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.84% ( 0.03) | 40.15% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.2% ( 0.03) | 76.79% ( -0.03) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.77% ( -0.01) | 12.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.08% ( -0.01) | 37.91% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.32% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.92% | 0-2 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.93% 0-4 @ 3.99% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.51% Total : 64.74% |
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