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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)

Gloucester City
1 - 6
Chester

Brain (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burke (24', 77'), Peers (36'), Glendon (66'), Thomas (71' pen.), Tollitt (90+5')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Gloucester City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-2 Alfreton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawChester FC
15.32% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 19.92% (0.0030000000000001 0) 64.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.52% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (0.013999999999996 0.01)42% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)64.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (0.032000000000004 0.03)40.15% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.029 0.03)76.79% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)12.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.08% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37.91% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 15.32%
    Chester FC 64.74%
    Draw 19.92%
Gloucester CityDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 4.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 2.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 15.32%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.92%
0-2 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.93%
0-4 @ 3.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 64.74%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Gloucester City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Brackley Town
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-7 Boston
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-2 Alfreton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-4 Chester
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 South Shields
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 0-0 Chester
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Southport
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North


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