Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Gloucester City	Draw	Chester FC
15.32% ( 0.02)	19.92% ( 0)	64.75% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99% (

0.01)

42% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.59% (

0.02)

64.4% (

-0.02)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84% (

0.03)

40.15% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

0.03)

76.79% (

-0.03)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.77% (

-0.01)

12.22% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.08% (

-0.01)

37.91% (

Score Analysis

Gloucester City 15.32%

Chester FC 64.74%

Draw 19.92%

Gloucester City	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.32%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.92%	0-2 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.93% 0-4 @ 3.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.51% Total : 64.74%