SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Brackley Town |
27.97% ( -0.09) | 26.25% ( 0.28) | 45.77% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( -1.15) | 53.68% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( -0.98) | 75.17% ( 0.98) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( -0.68) | 34.13% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.18% ( -0.74) | 70.82% ( 0.74) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0.58) | 23.4% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( -0.86) | 57.39% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.77% |
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