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National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
AT

Chester
0 - 2
Alfreton

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Digie (36', 66')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buxton 1-4 Chester
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Rushall Olympic
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
48.32% (-0.153 -0.15) 26.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 25.21% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.72% (0.178 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82% (0.158 0.16)56.18% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (0.127 0.13)77.24% (-0.129 -0.13)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78%57.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (0.232 0.23)37.79% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (0.226 0.23)74.57% (-0.229 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 48.32%
    Alfreton Town 25.21%
    Draw 26.47%
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.82% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 25.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Buxton 1-4 Chester
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 South Shields
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 0-0 Chester
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Southport
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-2 Chester
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Rushall Olympic
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-3 Alfreton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North


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