Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.