SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Chorley |
39.93% ( 0.43) | 26.28% ( 0.28) | 33.78% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 52.93% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% ( -1.31) | 51.68% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( -1.16) | 73.46% ( 1.15) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( -0.37) | 25.44% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% ( -0.51) | 60.26% ( 0.51) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( -1.09) | 29.01% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( -1.37) | 64.91% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.93% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.78% |
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