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National League North | Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
North Street

Alfreton
4 - 2
Curzon Ashton

Rhead (15' pen., 79' pen.), Salmon (29'), Smith (44')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Peers (42' pen.), Whitham (68')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Guiseley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Kettering
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawCurzon Ashton
48.56%25.43%26.01%
Both teams to score 51.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35%51.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57%73.43%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72%21.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79%54.21%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37%34.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65%71.35%
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 48.56%
    Curzon Ashton 26.01%
    Draw 25.42%
Alfreton TownDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.82%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leamington 1-2 Alfreton
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 York City
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Alfreton
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Darlington
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-2 Alfreton
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Guiseley 2-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Chorley
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-4 Boston
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-3 Spennymoor
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in National League North


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