Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
