Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
