Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Chorley
16.83%	22.58%	60.59%

Both teams to score 47.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.42%

50.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.5%

72.5%

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.61%

43.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.39%

79.61%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72%

16.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.17%

45.82%

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 16.83%

Chorley 60.57%

Draw 22.57%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 5.9% 2-1 @ 4.47% 2-0 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.83%	1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.57%	0-1 @ 12.81% 0-2 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-4 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-5 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.12% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.93% Total : 60.57%