Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
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