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National League North | Gameweek 41
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
3 - 0
Brackley Town

Haughton (40', 48'), Ligendza (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 0-3 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result
FyldeDrawBrackley Town
50.18% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 24.51% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 25.31% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.66% (0.281 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.34699999999999 0.35)48.44% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.314 0.31)70.57% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.149 0.15)19.32% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (0.241 0.24)51.09% (-0.236 -0.24)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (0.226 0.23)33.49% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (0.246 0.25)70.12% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 50.17%
    Brackley Town 25.31%
    Draw 24.5%
FyldeDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fylde 0-3 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 Fylde
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Fylde
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 Fylde
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 King's Lynn
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Leamington
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Southport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North


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