SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
48.69% ( -0.3) | 24.03% ( 0.17) | 27.28% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.04% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( -0.68) | 44.81% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( -0.65) | 67.17% ( 0.65) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -0.38) | 18.51% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.27% ( -0.64) | 49.72% ( 0.64) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( -0.26) | 30.01% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.87% ( -0.31) | 66.13% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 27.28% |
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