SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
57.92% ( 5.65) | 23.31% ( -2.08) | 18.78% ( -3.57) |
| Both teams to score 48.79% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( 3.9) | 50.61% ( -3.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( 3.34) | 72.53% ( -3.34) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 3.66) | 17.22% ( -3.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% ( 6.07) | 47.51% ( -6.06) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.93% ( -1.54) | 41.07% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.39% ( -1.4) | 77.62% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.82)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 1.13)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.8)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.75)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.59)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.23)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.34)Other @ 2.68% Total : 57.91% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.92) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -1.18)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -1.37) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.64)0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.75)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.78% |
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