SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
56.91% ( 0.05) | 23.66% ( -0.01) | 19.43% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0.04) | 51.14% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( -0.04) | 72.99% ( 0.04) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( 0) | 17.77% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( 0) | 48.48% ( -0) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% ( -0.08) | 40.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( -0.07) | 77.23% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.89% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.43% |
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