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National League North | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
5 - 2
Farsley Celtic

Hancock (12' pen., 42'), Mahon (33'), Peers (51', 65')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Syers (14'), Mulhern (75' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Buxton
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawFarsley Celtic
53.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 24.34% (-0.012 -0.01) 22.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.6% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (0.023000000000003 0.02)50.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.019000000000002 0.02)72.62% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.015999999999991 0.02)18.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.34% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)37.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.4% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 53.55%
    Farsley Celtic 22.11%
    Draw 24.33%
Curzon AshtonDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-0 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.55%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 2-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Buxton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-1 Curzon Ashton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Southport
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-2 Darlington
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Buxton
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Sunday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Monday, December 26 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 King's Lynn
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North


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