SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Gloucester City |
58.96% ( 0.07) | 22.31% ( 0.01) | 18.73% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.16) | 46.58% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.15) | 68.85% ( 0.14) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( -0.03) | 15.45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.7% ( -0.05) | 44.3% ( 0.05) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% ( -0.18) | 38.77% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.5% ( -0.17) | 75.5% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.95% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.73% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
