SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Gloucester City |
49.69% ( 0.08) | 24.63% ( -0) | 25.68% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0.04) | 48.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( -0.04) | 70.76% ( 0.04) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( 0.02) | 19.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.45% ( 0.02) | 51.55% ( -0.02) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( -0.09) | 33.29% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.09% ( -0.09) | 69.91% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.68% |
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