SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Darlington |
53.21% ( 0.05) | 24.67% ( -0.01) | 22.12% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.99% ( 0) | 52% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% ( -0) | 73.74% ( 0) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.02) | 19.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% ( 0.03) | 51.38% ( -0.03) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( -0.04) | 38.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.91% ( -0.03) | 75.09% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.12% |
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