Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
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