Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Southport had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
