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National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 1
Darlington

Henley (39' og.), Blyth (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cassidy (77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Darlington.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawDarlington
58.74%21.82%19.44%
Both teams to score 54.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61%43.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22%65.78%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55%14.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.61%42.39%
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86%36.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.91%
Score Analysis
    Chorley 58.73%
    Darlington 19.44%
    Draw 21.81%
ChorleyDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.77%
3-1 @ 6.42%
3-0 @ 6.3%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 3.1%
4-0 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 58.73%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.22%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 5.31%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.44%

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