SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Kettering Town |
63.61% ( 0.1) | 20.54% ( -0.05) | 15.85% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% ( 0.12) | 43.73% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( 0.12) | 66.12% ( -0.12) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.93% ( 0.07) | 13.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.33% ( 0.14) | 39.68% ( -0.14) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.48% ( 0.01) | 40.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.87% ( 0.01) | 77.13% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.96% 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 63.6% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.54% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.85% |
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