SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kettering Town | Draw | Hereford United |
32.08% ( 0.08) | 25.63% ( -0.01) | 42.28% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( 0.05) | 49.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( 0.05) | 71.4% ( -0.05) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.08) | 28.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 0.1) | 64.85% ( -0.1) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( -0.01) | 23.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( -0.02) | 57.1% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kettering Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.28% |
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