SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Darlington |
35.54% ( 0.11) | 27.09% ( 0.25) | 37.37% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( -1.02) | 54.75% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% ( -0.85) | 76.06% ( 0.85) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.43) | 29.41% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( -0.53) | 65.41% ( 0.52) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( -0.7) | 28.31% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% ( -0.9) | 64.03% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.36% |
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