SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Darlington |
29.31% ( -0.1) | 27.08% ( -0.03) | 43.6% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% ( 0.05) | 56.18% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% ( 0.04) | 77.24% ( -0.05) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( -0.05) | 34.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.87% ( -0.05) | 71.13% ( 0.04) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( 0.08) | 25.57% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( 0.11) | 60.44% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
