Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
41.43% ( 0.15) | 24.11% ( 0.02) | 34.47% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 60.63% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.22% ( -0.14) | 41.77% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.82% ( -0.15) | 64.17% ( 0.15) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( 0.01) | 20.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.24% ( 0.01) | 52.76% ( -0.01) |
Scarborough Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.13% ( -0.16) | 23.86% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.94% ( -0.23) | 58.06% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.47% |
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