Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.